Real Estate Cycle Clock

The classic four-quadrant real estate cycle model (Recovery → Expansion → Hypersupply → Recession), positioned per zone using real price trend and real permit pipeline volume. This is a simplified two-input version — a full model also weighs occupancy/vacancy trend, which we don't show here since our real STR yield history isn't deep enough yet to compute a trend honestly. Treat this as a structural read on price-vs-supply balance, not a forecast.

Each zone's own page shows a separate "market regime" label from our AI synthesis, which also weighs STR data, recent signals, and participant sentiment. The two are deliberately independent — this page is a hard rule on two verifiable inputs, that one is a holistic judgment call — so they can disagree on the same zone. Neither overrides the other.