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Riviera Audit/Scoring Methodology
Riviera Audit Standard

Scoring Methodology

Every score on this platform is an auditable object. This page explains exactly how zone scores are constructed, what data sources we use, how confidence labels are assigned, and how often scores are updated.

Version 2.4 — July 2026Updated: Weekly10 Primary Sources
Zone Score Formula
Zone Score (0–100) =
Supply Risk Score (0–25)
+ Regulatory Risk Score (0–25)
+ Market Momentum Score (0–25)
+ Infrastructure Score (0–25)

Higher scores indicate lower composite risk and stronger market fundamentals. A score of 83 (Cancun) reflects strong infrastructure, low ejido exposure, and positive momentum. A score of 58 (Bacalar) reflects elevated ejido risk, pre-sale delivery concerns, and thin liquidity — not that the market is bad, but that the risk profile requires more careful due diligence.

Score Components
Supply Risk
25 pts

Measures oversupply risk, pre-sale delivery track record, and active pipeline vs absorption rate.

Signals Measured
Active pre-sale units vs historical absorption
Developer delivery track record (on-time %)
Stalled or permit-lapsed projects
New supply announcements vs current demand
Data Sources
Municipal permit records
CANADEVI developer filings
PROFECO consumer complaints
Riviera Audit field research
Regulatory Risk
25 pts

Measures legal title clarity, ejido exposure, coastal permit stability, and AMPI compliance density.

Signals Measured
Active ejido disputes or pending PROCEDE conversions
SEMARNAT coastal permit status
AMPI certification density among active agents
Foreign ownership restriction flags
Data Sources
RAN ejido registry
SEMARNAT permit database
AMPI chapter membership lists
Notario public record filings
Market Momentum
25 pts

Measures demand signals, price trajectory, STR occupancy trends, and foreign buyer flow.

Signals Measured
90-day price per m2 trend
STR occupancy rate vs 12-month average
Tourism arrivals (CUN airport PAX data)
Foreign buyer transaction volume
Data Sources
SECTUR tourism statistics
ASUR airport passenger data
Airbnb/VRBO public occupancy signals
Notario transaction filings (RPPC)
Infrastructure
25 pts

Measures road connectivity, utility reliability, healthcare access, and planned public investment.

Signals Measured
Road quality and connectivity index
CFE power reliability score
Proximity to hospitals and international schools
Active public infrastructure projects
Data Sources
SCT road infrastructure records
CFE service area maps
IMSS/ISSSTE facility registry
FONATUR investment announcements
Confidence Labels

Every data point on this platform carries a confidence label. This tells you how much independent verification sits behind the signal.

VERIFIED
Signal confirmed by two or more independent primary sources within the last 90 days.
Example: Google Business rating with 50+ reviews + AMPI membership confirmed via chapter registry.
INFERRED
Signal derived from one primary source or corroborated indirect signals. Directionally reliable.
Example: Price per m2 estimate derived from 3 active listings with no closed transaction confirmation.
SYNTHESIZED
Signal produced by AI synthesis of multiple inputs. Reviewed but not individually source-verified.
Example: Zone narrative summary generated from permit data, news monitoring, and field reports.
ESTIMATED
Signal based on modeled data or historical analogy. Lowest confidence. Use for directional context only.
Example: STR yield estimate for a new zone with limited comparable transaction history.
Alert Signal Types

Alerts are forward-looking signals. They surface information that may not yet be reflected in official records but is material to a buying decision.

LEGAL
Title disputes, ejido challenges, permit revocations, litigation flags
SUPPLY
New project launches, stalled developments, delivery delays, oversupply signals
COMPLIANCE
AMPI certification lapses, agent licensing issues, regulatory violations
CONSTRUCTION
Nearby development that may affect views, noise, or access
EJIDO_EXPIRY
PROCEDE regularization expiry dates and renewal uncertainty
NOISE
Infrastructure projects that will permanently increase ambient noise levels
INFRASTRUCTURE
Road, utility, and public investment changes affecting zone accessibility
OPS
Positive operational signals: permit approvals, infrastructure completion, capacity upgrades
RISK
Fraud indicators, unregistered operators, consumer complaints
MACRO
Currency, interest rate, tourism flow, and cross-border capital signals
Data Sources
SourceTypeUse
RAN (Registro Agrario Nacional)PrimaryEjido status, PROCEDE regularization records
SEMARNAT permit databasePrimaryCoastal development permits, environmental impact declarations
RPPC (Registro Público de la Propiedad y del Comercio)PrimaryProperty ownership records, fideicomiso filings
AMPI chapter registriesPrimaryAgent and agency certification status
ASUR (airport authority)PrimaryCUN passenger volume data (quarterly)
SECTUR tourism statisticsPrimaryHotel occupancy, tourist arrivals, seasonality
Google Business ProfileSecondaryParticipant ratings, review counts, operational signals
Municipal permit recordsSecondaryConstruction permits, land use authorizations
PROFECOSecondaryDeveloper consumer complaints, breach of contract filings
Riviera Audit field researchProprietaryOn-ground verification, local source interviews, site visits
Data Integrity Log

We build features to a source-verifiability bar, not a "looks plausible" bar. When a metric can't be reliably sourced, we pull it — publicly, with the reason — instead of leaving it live with synthesized numbers.

Price SignalsREMOVED
July 2026

Built a collector to measure price-cut magnitude, pre-sale vs. resale gap, beachfront premium, and cross-portal price spread across Lamudi, Point2Homes, and Inmuebles24. Tested it live against all 8 zones and confirmed the underlying search method cannot reliably extract portal-attributed, listing-level figures from those sites. Pulled the feature — including its dashboard page and nav entry — rather than publish estimates we could not stand behind.

Update Frequency
Daily
Alert signals, participant scores, macro indicators
Weekly
Zone score composite, price per m2 estimates, STR occupancy
Monthly
Full zone AI synthesis, infrastructure scoring, supply pipeline
Quarterly
Data source audit, methodology review, institutional brief publication
Important Limitations
!Scores are not investment recommendations. A high score does not guarantee returns.
!Scores are not legal opinions. Always engage a licensed Mexican notario and attorney before any transaction.
!Scores do not replace due diligence. Use this platform as a starting point, not a final answer.
!Participant scores reflect publicly available signals. A high score reflects observable evidence, not a personal endorsement.
!Alert signals may lag real events. We publish as soon as signals are confirmed, but we are not a real-time monitoring service.
Corrections & Disputes

A verdict or risk flag about a named participant is the highest-stakes thing this platform publishes — it can affect a real business's livelihood, and every source feeding it (public filings, web search, AI extraction) can be wrong. We hold negative flags to a real evidence bar before they publish, and we commit to correcting the record — publicly, not quietly — whenever we get one wrong.

Before a flag publishes
A CRITICAL or RISK signal about a named participant requires a real, citable source — not a single unverified mention — before it goes live. Anything thinner is held at INFERRED or ESTIMATED confidence rather than presented as fact.
If you're named and disagree
Any participant, or anyone with direct knowledge of a claim about them, can dispute it directly — no account or claimed profile required. We review the disputed claim against its original source.
After review
If we got it wrong, we correct or remove it and log the correction to our public activity feed. If we stand by it, we tell you why. Either way, the resolution is logged — not handled silently.
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RIVIERAAUDIT.COM - CORRIDOR INTELLIGENCE - 2026
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